09/05/2023
This Tuesday, in the Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95), satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located about midway between western Africa and the Windward Islands has become better organized overnight. If current trends continue, advisories would be issued later today on a tropical cyclone moving west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Additional strengthening to a hurricane is likely later this week while the system moves over western portions of the tropical Atlantic, near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. For additional information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. It has a high (100 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days.
In the Eastern Tropical Atlantic, a strong tropical wave is near the coast of West Africa, producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of the week while the system moves west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move across the Cabo Verde Islands Wednesday night and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. It has a low (30 percent) chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a high (70 percent) chance in the next 7 days.
In the Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin): Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located a few hundred miles north of the Azores, and is forecast to move quickly southeastward towards warmer waters east of the Azores. This system could acquire
some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week or this weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal. For additional information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
It has a near zero chance of formation through 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance of formation in the next 7 days.
For the latest updates, visit hurricanes.gov
